New Report Predicts 4.6 Million U.S. Jobs Will Be Lost Due to Travel Decline

March 18, 2020

A new report from Tourism Economics shows that the impact of the coronavirus outbreak will have far-reaching consequences for the travel industry. The total economic loss is projected to translate into a total economic loss of $809 billion — more than six times worse than the world experienced post-9/11.

The report predicts that the U.S. economy will lose 4.6 million travel-related jobs as a direct result of the decline in travel, 3.6 million of which are estimated to be directly within the industry. Based on historical precedent, this will push the unemployment rate up to 6.3 percent in the second quarter of 2020. Highlights from the report include:

  • Total U.S. spending on travel (transportation, lodging, retail, attractions and restaurants) is projected to drop by 31 percent ($355 billion) for the year.
  • These losses are enough to propel the U.S. into a recession that is expected to reach its lowest point in Q2 2020 and last at least into early 2021.
  • The projected 4.6 million travel-related jobs lost would alone nearly double the U.S. unemployment rate (from 3.5 percent to 6.3 percent)
  • A 23 percent drop in international tourism is projected, equating to a $49 billion revenue loss — 13 times the impact of the 2003 SARS coronavirus outbreak and nearly double that of 9/11

At a March 17 meeting at the White House, U.S. Travel Association President and CEO Roger Dow urged the Trump administration to consider providing $150 billion in relief for the travel sector. He noted that 15.8 million Americans are employed by travel-related businesses, and 83 percent of those businesses are small enough to potentially fold without government aid.

During the same meeting, hotel industry leaders proposed immediate actions the government could take to help protect industry jobs and help small business owners. The top priorities from this group are retaining and rehiring employees, and helping keep hotels in business. 

The Tourism Economics report estimates the hotel industry contributes nearly $660 billion annually to the U.S. GDP and supports 8.3 million American jobs — 1 in 25 — paying more than $97 billion in wages and salary income.

"This situation is completely without precedent," Dow said. "For the sake of the economy's long-term health, employers and employees need relief now from this disaster that was created by circumstances completely out of their control."

Read the full report here.

 

More Industry Petitions and Resources

The USTA isn’t the only organization pushing for relief for the travel and hospitality industry. 

Representatives from Digerati Productions and AV Educate have created a petition calling for President Trump to provide a federal aid package for the events industry that would include emergency healthcare coverage, low-interest loans, grants, and unemployment benefits. Read more and sign the petition here.

The petition creators also started a Facebook group as a source of information and conversation for anyone in the events industry who has been negatively affected by COVID-19. Request to join here

The U.S. Small Business Administration is offering designated states and territories low-interest federal disaster loans for working capital to small businesses suffering substantial economic injury as a result of COVID-19. Read more here.

 

Do you know of other relief efforts, funds, or grants available for members of the events or greater hospitality industry? Please let us know. Connect with us on Twitter or email kogletree@tsnn.com.

 

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MGM Resorts is committed to fostering an inclusive and diverse culture, not just among employees and guests but also within its supply chain. The company prioritizes procuring goods and services from businesses owned by minorities, women, veterans, people with disabilities, LGBTQ individuals and those facing economic disadvantages. This commitment is integral to MGM Resorts' global procurement strategy.    Through its voluntary supplier diversity program, MGM Resorts actively identifies and connects certified diverse-owned suppliers to opportunities within its supply chain. The company is on track to spend at least 15% of its biddable procurement with diverse-owned businesses by 2025, demonstrating that supplier diversity is not only a social responsibility but also a strategic business imperative.    Supplier diversity isn’t just the right thing to do – it’s good for business. A diverse supply chain allows access to a broader range of perspectives and experience, helping to drive innovation, entrepreneurship and resilience, while strengthening communities. At MGM Resorts, engaging diverse suppliers ensures best-in-class experiences for guests and clients. Supplier diversity ensures a more resilient supply chain while supporting economic development in the communities in which it operates.   The impact of MGM Resorts' supplier diversity initiatives is significant. In 2023, these efforts supported over 3,500 jobs across more than 30 states, contributed over $214 million in income for diverse-owned businesses and generated more than $62 million in tax revenue. The story extends beyond the numbers – it reflects the tangible benefits brought to small and diverse-owned businesses, fostering economic empowerment in their communities.    MGM Resorts also supports the development and business skills of diverse-owned businesses through investment, mentorship and education. Through the MGM Resorts Supplier Diversity Mentorship Program, the company identifies, mentors and develops diverse-owned businesses to fill its future pipeline, while providing businesses with tools and resources to empower and uplift. Since 2017, the program has successfully graduated 105 diverse-owned businesses and is on track to achieve its goal of 150 graduates by 2025.     MGM Resorts’ commitment to supplier diversity not only enhances its business operations but also plays a crucial role in uplifting communities and fostering economic development. This approach reinforces the idea that diversity is a powerful driver of innovation and resilience, benefiting both the company and the wider community.